Paris Saint-Germain vs. Inter Milan UEFA Champions League Final Preview

Paris Saint-Germain battles Inter Milan in the UEFA Champions League Final on Saturday. Paris Saint-Germain aims to secure their first European title by leveraging their dynamic attacking lineup and cohesive team play under manager Luis Enrique. 

Key players like Ousmane Dembélé and Achraf Hakimi have been instrumental in Paris Saint-Germain’s journey, providing width and pace on the flanks. Midfield control, led by Fabián Ruiz, will be crucial in dictating the game’s tempo, while goalkeeper Gianluigi Donnarumma’s shot-stopping abilities could prove decisive in high-pressure moments. 

Paris Saint-Germain’s strategy will likely focus on maintaining possession, exploiting spaces in Inter Milan’s defense, and capitalizing on set-piece opportunities.

Inter Milan, under the guidance of Simone Inzaghi, brings experience and tactical discipline to the final, seeking their fourth Champions League title. Their 3-5-2 formation, featuring wing-backs like Denzel Dumfries, allows for both defensive solidity and swift counter-attacks. Striker Lautaro Martínez’s clinical finishing will be vital in converting chances, while goalkeeper Yann Sommer’s reliability provides a strong last line of defense.

Inter Milan’s approach will focus on absorbing Paris Saint-Germain’s pressure, disrupting their rhythm, and exploiting transitional moments to launch quick attacks. Their ability to remain compact defensively and efficient in front of goal could be the key to overcoming Paris Saint-Germain’s offensive threats.

The player to watch in this game is Hakan Çalhanoğlu, who has four goals and two assists in 11 UEFA Champions League games last season. AccuScore gives Hakan Çalhanoğlu a 23 percent chance to score against Paris Saint-Germain. He has 25 SCA and 2 GCA in 11 UEFA Champions League games this season. 

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup. 

Dafabet Odds 

Team to Win (Regular Time)

• Paris Saint-Germain 2.25
• Inter Milan 3.20
• Draw 3.30

Spread

• Paris Saint-Germain 0, -0.5 (1.87)
• Inter Milan 0, +0.5 (1.90)

Total

• Over 2.5 (1.92)
• Under 2.5 (1.83)

Key Points to Consider

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in a club friendly on August 1, 2023 and Inter Milan won 2-1. 

Projected Leaders 

For Paris Saint-Germain, Ousmane Dembélé has a 22.3 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 2.82 shots overall per sim, 0.98 shots on goal per and 0.25 goals per sim.

For Inter Milan, Hakan Çalhanoğlu has a 23 percent chance to score. He averages 1.1 shots overall per sim, 0.43 shots on goal per and 0.27 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Inter Milan 3.20

Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Inter Milan in this one. Average score in simulations is Inter Milan 0.9 to Paris Saint-Germain 0.75.